Monday 7 March 2016

Trump and Hitler: are they the same?

Trump and Hitler: are they the same?

Two days ago, Louis C.K. added a lengthy postscript to a regular PR email regarding a new episode of his web series. “Please stop it with voting for Trump”, his essay began - so far so good. He then made a rather far-fetched claim about Trump: “this guy is Hitler”. Parallels certainly exist between the two, but how far does this similarity extend?

FYI: If you’re here solely to read about Trump, scroll through to the next divider; this little section is a [hopefully interesting] history lesson into how, and why, Hitler came to power.
Germany did not elect Hitler himself; that Hitler was democratically selected to be President of the Reich is one of the main misconceptions about the Second World War. Granted, in 1930 Hitler’s NSDAP, or Nazi Party, had indeed taken 18.25% of the popular vote in the federal election (equivalent to a Congressional election), making it the second largest party in the Reichstag at the time, but its 107 seats were far short of the 289 required for a majority - the Nazis had achieved relative success, but they were in no fit position to begin a revolutionary uprising.
No party won a majority in that election, so Brüning, the incumbent Chancellor, remained in power, despite a lack of popular support for his governance. In May 1932, increasing pressure from President Hindenburg (and Kurt von Schleicher, who will rear his ugly head later) led Brüning to resign from his post. His successor, von Papen, was in an appallingly weak position. With only 12% of Reichstag seats, von Papen lasted just three days and was then forced to dissolve the Reichstag and call elections in the hope of winning more seats. This would strengthen his position; if he failed then power would fall to the Nazis, the SPD (social democrats) or the KPD (Communists).
In this election (31st July 1932), von Papen’s allies, the Zentrum (‘centre’) Party gained 7 seats - von Papen could rejoin his old party to earn parliamentary support in a coalition agreement. However, Hitler’s Nazis won 123 seats; a swing of over 19%, establishing his party as the largest in the Reichstag, yet still not a majority. At this point, von Papen gave up all pretence of accountability; he demanded a decree - based on Article 48 of the constitution of the Weimar Republic, that gave emergency powers to the President without the consultation of the Reichstag - from Hindenburg, that dissolved the Reichstag and suspended elections. He was assured this task would be completed, and he arrived at the newly elected Reichstag ready to shut it down and start discussing how to keep a grip on the Chancellorship with his close advisors. To his surprise, the first item on the agenda was not his democracy paralysing decree, it was a vote of no-confidence from the Communists. This vote was passed by a margin of 512–42, despite von Papen’s demands to take the floor and pass his decree - Hermann Göring, the Nazi president of the Reichstag (equivalent to the Speaker of the House of Representatives) pretended not to see Papen’s protest, passing instead the vote of no-confidence with haste. Von Papen then announced new elections in a final bid to avoid resignation or deselection, to be held that November.
The Nazis were in decline - Hitler’s share of the vote fell by over 4%, but his party remained the largest in the Reichstag. Von Papen’s beloved Zentrum lost 5 seats, yet the DNVP, who had supported him as Chancellor, won 15 seats. Despite these gains, von Papen was greatly lacking in public support, so was superseded by his Defence Minister, Kurt von Schleicher - one of the men who had shoehorned von Papen into the role of Chancellor was now replacing him in the very same job.
But not for long - von Schleicher failed in negotiations with the Nazi Party, and von Papen approached Hitler with a proposition. He would form a government under Hindenburg’s watch, with Hitler at the head, and himself as vice-Chancellor. Hindenburg agreed; he assumed that with a cabinet full of non-Nazi members, Hitler would be muzzled and powerless. Almost immediately, he set to work altering the demographic of his cabinet. Centrists were out, Nazis were in: this began with the installation of Joseph Goebbels as Minister of Public Enlightenment and Propaganda.
Hitler then used stunts such as the Reichstag Fire, the Enabling Act and the Night of the Long Knives to solidify his position: politically, by using the Reichstag Fire as an excuse to remove most of his Communist or centrist opposition; legally, through the declaration of the Enabling Act that effectively gave all power to him personally; and finally militarily, ensuring no armed opposition could overthrow him by crushing any potential resistors before they resisted. However, though these events concreted Hitler’s leadership over Germany, the foundation for his domination was built upon years of manipulation of government figures, relentless candidacy in a number of elections, and simply the ability and initiative to take advantage of a weak, unpopular and vulnerable government in the form of the Weimar Republic.

This leads me on to Trump. I personally dislike the man, and I don’t believe he deserves to be the next President of the US. I have a number of reasons for this: I believe the image he projects of being self-made is a lie, and perhaps most importantly, I believe that mass immigration, contrary to destroying America, or “killing us at the border”, as Trump refers to it, is actually beneficial for world development. Nevertheless, Donald Trump is not Hitler. Recent social experiments have shown that it is difficult, nay, impossible, to distinguish between the rhetoric of the pair, yet equating a self-styled businessman, who makes racist statements on a regular basis, to a dictator, who caused the deaths of around 60 million through war in Europe, is simply wrong, and borders on scaremongering.
Despite this, there are undeniable parallels between the two men - by no means are they equal, but they do share traits and experiences that are interesting to explore, because they reveal an awful lot about the voting habits of people who feel like they're getting a rotten deal from the political system. In other words, examining what made Hitler popular, and what made Donald Trump popular, as well as figures such as Margaret Thatcher or Tony Blair (politicians who have engaged an entire nation in politics, for bad or good), may well be the key to a phenomena coined “youth disillusionment”. If certain methods can be used to effectively inspire a nation, surely they can also be used to awaken young voters from their decade-long slumber, and get under-25s to engage in democratic proceedings - this can only be a good thing.
Donald Trump, despite dipping his toe into the political water by considering running for President in 2012, is a newcomer to politics; that’s what makes him so appealing to voters. He represents an alternative to the Establishment; he threatens to rock the status quo of America, and this is what has earned him victory in 12 states so far. His appeal stems largely from his ability to shock and distract: his manipulation of mass media outlets is second to none. Trump is not afraid to say things that are controversial, and he is exceptionally good at managing scapegoats and manufacturing stereotypes - indeed, his popularity reached a new high following his promise to ban Muslims entry to the USA earlier in the campaign. Further, and perhaps most worryingly, Trump did declare that he wished to bring back water-boarding - and “worse” (although he later asserted that he would not order troops to commit war crimes, muddying the water somewhat).
Similarly, Adolf Hitler was viewed as a newcomer. Although he had campaigned for several years and was very tenacious as a political candidate, his ideas were original and captured the imagination of the German people. Secondly, whilst Hitler himself was not a master of media, he appointed one of the best in the business to be his Minister for Public Enlightenment and Propaganda, Joseph Goebbels. Thirdly, Hitler was the master of scapegoating: through the manufacture of the Dolchstoßlegende (the myth that Germany had been forced to surrender in World War One by a coalition of Jews, Bolsheviks and Marxists) was one of the most successful campaigns of scapegoating in the 20th Century.
There remain two key differences between Hitler and Trump: these differences are absolutely vital. Firstly, Hitler killed people; Trump has not (although he has said that he would murder the families of terrorists). Hitler was a man who sent 11 million to die specifically because of their race. I believe that Donald, whilst not an incredibly charming bloke, would still struggle to send that amount of people to die, for no reason other than the race into which they were born.
Finally, and most importantly, there was one reason that I failed to mention above as a reason for Hitler’s popularity. He received votes disproportionately from women. Historians debate the reason for these, but the most watertight theory appears to be that Hitler was viewed as a sex symbol. This was what caused many women to vote for Hitler, and this represents a large reason for his success.
Thankfully, Donald Trump is not a sex symbol.
Yet.

NOTE 1: I do not believe that Hitler and Trump are equal, I merely believe that they share some intriguing qualities that can be useful for a study of populist politics, and may potentially be of merit when considering the best way to reconnect with currently disillusioned sectors of society.

Saturday 5 March 2016

Why is America feeling the Bern?

Bernie Sanders pulls off his signature vague hand gesture, whilst wearing a particularly fetching suit.

 Why is America feeling the Bern?

Bernie Sanders is America’s only self-described socialist Senator. He has been a representative since 1990 and has received almost no recognition outside of Vermont until recently. So, what has driven Sanders to relative success this year?

On November 6th 1990, 209,856 Vermont voters turned out to elect a little-known independent candidate, Bernie Sanders, to the House of Representatives; he received 56% of the vote. This prompted The Washington Post to declare him the “First Socialist Elected” – he was also the first independent candidate to become a representative for over 40 years. People sensed Bernie would upset the establishment – he was out of the ordinary – and that he did. Sanders estranged friends and foes alike by declaring that both political parties were mere puppets for corporate interests, and several of his early speeches to the floor in the House of Representatives focused on addressing the revolving door between corporate business and prominent public office.
Bernie then fronted several high-profile movements; some were successes, others were total abject failures. In 1993, Bernie was part of a small minority who voted against the Brady Bill, which mandated background checks in order to purchase guns, but the law was passed anyway (it was signed into law by Bill Clinton that November), with over 202 million Brady background checks completed since its implementation. However, a marginally successful campaign was his opposition to the Patriot Act – a piece of legislation “to enhance law enforcement investigatory tools” in order to “deter and punish terrorist acts”. He voted against the original legislation; promoted later amendments that aimed to restrict the effects – many of these were passed – and drafted an amendment himself that was passed through the House of Representatives.
But Bernie’s political ideology had been formed long before he had even considered becoming a representative. As a young Jewish boy living in Brooklyn, New York, Sanders had stood as class president in high school on the premise of providing “scholarships to war orphans in Korea”. Unfortunately, he came in third (only time will tell if he faces a similar losing fate in the Democratic nominations), but this situation serves as an illustration of why a growing portion of the country are “feeling the Bern” – he has an ideology and he is prepared to fight for it, and, unlike his opponents, has been fighting for it unwaveringly since Day One.
Similar things have been said about Donald Trump – people embrace his no-nonsense way of speaking – but it is important to make a distinction between the two men. Bernie Sanders has spent his entire life devoted to promoting the ideology he believes in, whereas Donald Trump has spent a large portion of his making money. For many Americans, this is exactly what makes Trump so popular; his ability to make money and run a successful business. Nevertheless, there is a clear difference between the two candidates; they have travelled very different paths in life, and this affects how they go about their politics (i.e. Donald Trump is aggressive because it is an effective strategy in the board room, whereas Sanders is calm and measured – normally – because this is the best way to address the House of Representatives or the Senate).
Many political commentators have claimed that Bernie is a populist, and to some extent this is true; his political aims align closely with that of an awful lot of the population. However, it is important not to overuse the term ‘populist’. The fact that a politician represents the wants of the public is not populism, it is simply a symptom of a functional and healthy democracy, and it is a refreshing thing to see in today’s world of party politics. Whether termed populism or not, the key to Sanders’ popularity and relative success is the fact that his policies resonate with many American voters.
Another important point to make is that a similar phenomena has been occurring around the world in recent years: the election of Syriza, an anti-austerity “coalition of the radical left”, in Greece; a wave of support for Podemos in Spain; and perhaps most prominently, the election of Jeremy Corbyn as the Labour Party leader in the UK following a nation-wide public vote. It seems as though the “Sanders phenomenon” is occuring across the world: a hopeful movement, pushing left-wing parties and candidates into the public eye. Whether you believe this is a good thing or not, one thing is for sure: it’s going to be interesting to see where we’re headed.